Home Archived Articles The S&P500 is coiling ahead of the Fed’s decision

The S&P500 is coiling ahead of the Fed’s decision

0
September 16, 2015

I’ve placed a small bet (via put options) that the senior US stock indices will drop to test their 24th August lows by mid-October. At the same time I acknowledge the potential for a sharp move to the upside over the next 2-3 days in anticipation of and in reaction to the Fed’s 17th September interest-rate decision. That’s why my bearish bet is small.

The chart pattern of the S&P500 Index (SPX) suggests that there will be a sharp move over the days immediately ahead, although it doesn’t point to a particular direction. One possible outcome involves an upside breakout within the next two days from the contracting triangle drawn on the following chart and then a downward reversal. This is the near-term outcome that would confuse the greatest number of traders, which is why I favour it.

SPX_blog_160915

I never risk money on guesses about what any financial market is going to do over time periods as short as a few days, but it’s still fun to guess.

Source: The S&P500 is coiling ahead of the Fed’s decision

Previous articleUS Housing Starts: August 2015 Preview
Next articleThe Calm Before The Storm
Hey, Im Joshua, the founder of CNA Finance. I enjoy following the trends in the market and finding the catalysts that are making the moves. If you want to get in contact with me, leave a comment below or email me at CNAFinanceHelp@gmail.com Please keep in mind that I am not an investment advisor and nor is CNA Finance. This is a news and information gathering outlet. We may work directly with some of the companies that we write about. If we have a business relationship with an issuer, we will mention that in the articles. We also have various affiliate relationships with advertisers and may be paid if you sign up for a service that you were referred to through our website.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here